TanQuantCTVStart backtest →
USA CTVNow viewing USA TBV (compounding turtle)See the strategy
USA CTVCycle-Target Vault· cycle target
CycleTargetVault

Why this name? Buy and harvest daily — Cycle buying; when your set Target of +N% is hit it takes profit automatically, and the proceeds go to the Vault, sealed — "Hit the target, send it to the vault."

Trading strategy · Daily scaled buying (cycle) → each lot hits its target (+N%) and takes profit → proceeds are sealed in the vault → quarter cuts curb over-buying → on a crash the vault opens and re-invests. It earns on the way up and accumulates more when markets break down.

Cycle-Target Vault

We do not predict the market.
Instead we build a repeating response system.

It is not a bet on calling direction. It buys a little at every close by rule and, takes profit mechanically on rises. Earnings are locked in the Cash vault, and when a great crash comes that ammunition is re-deployed at the bottom. Where emotion would creep in, airtight rulesfill the gap — an endlessly cycling trading system.

Past backtests do not guarantee future returns · total loss possible

What — the method

Scaled buying + a cycling cash vault.

CTV (Cycle-Target Vault) assumes the Nasdaq's long-run upward structure and cycles four actions endlessly. Not one big bet — small rules repeated daily.

1
Scaled buying

Buy N% of equity at every close. Less on up days, more on down days.

2
Per-lot take profit

When a lot reaches its target return, only that position is sold automatically.

3
Cash storage

When equity swells, part is set aside in the cash vault as crash ammunition.

4
Crash re-investment

On a deep fall from the peak, vault cash is re-deployed at the bottom.

Back to step 1

Cash recovered by sales and re-investment funds the next buys — the cycle continues.

Total equity = Position value + Cash vaultThe trading pocket and the vault are separate — vault cash is never tied up in rallies, preserved as crash ammunition.
Where prediction is removed, repetitiontakes its place. No need to guess "up or down today" — take profit when it rises, accumulate when it falls: pre-decided responses for both directions, nothing more.
Rule 1 — scaled buying

Buy every day. More on the days it falls.

At every close it buys a set share of equity. But versus the prior close, up days get less, down days get more — accumulating on declines pulls the average price down.

Up-day entry (default)
1% of equity Buy
Down-day entry (default)
3% of equity Buy
Adjustable range
each 0.5% ~ 4%
e.g. equity $10,000 and down-day ratio 3% → that day it buys $300 worth. Higher ratios fill the position faster (aggressive), lower ones spread it out slowly.

Visual — up day 1% · down day 3%

The strategy buys at every single close. If the day closed up, it buys 1% of equity; if down, 3% of equity. Same price path, but heavier buying on down days drags the average price down .

Same path · up-day vs down-day buy size (sample) $90 $100 $110 Day 1 buys at every close ... Up day — buy small default 1% · just a touch in trends Down day — buy bigger default 3% · the deeper it falls, the more it adds, lowering the average

How to read the chart

Up close (vs prior day ↑)
Down close (vs prior day ↓)
Triangle = that day's buy size — it buys on every trading day without exception.
1%Up daysget small buys (1%).
3%Down daysget big ones (3%) — compare the two yellow circles.

Triangle size = buy size. Small on up days (default 1%), big on down days (default 3%). Yellow circles mark the comparison.

Because it buys daily, there is no entry timing to pick. Heavier buying on down days naturally lowers the average through the same stretch.
Rule 2 — per-lot take profit

Each lot is sold the moment it touches its target.

Every purchased lot carries its own take-profit target. Target = buy price × (1 + take-profit rate). Up-day and down-day lots can carry different rates — cheaper down-day lots can aim for a bigger bounce.

Up-day lots (default)
+10%take profit at
Down-day lots (default)
+10%take profit at
Adjustable range
each +1% ~ +12%
Lower rates (+5%) sell short and often; higher ones (+12%) sell rarely but bigger. Recovered cash and profit become the next buys' ammunition, returning to the cycle.
※ Spot TQQQ (a 3× ETF) applies ~3× your input (enter 10 → effectively +30%).
Rule 2 — visual

Whichever piece touches first is sold on its own.

Every lot bought at a different price carries its own +10% target line(dotted, color-coded). In the recovery, the moment price touches a line only that position is soldit never waits for the whole account to recover. Cheaper lots have lower targets, so they cash out first, early in the bounce .

Per-lot +10% targets (sample) $90 $100 $110 $120 Scaled buying selling lot by lot through the recovery the cheaper the lot, the lower its target — sold first each lot's +10% target line (dotted) touch it and only that lot sells ▼

How to read the chart

The cheapest lot — lowest target, sold first .
The second lot — sold a little higher.
The third lot — highest target, sold last.
The whole account never needs to recover — positions cash out one by one as they touch.

Three buys (blue · lime · green) each carry a +10% line; touching it sells with the same-colored ▼. The cheapest lot takes profit first.

Not one lump — many small positionsmanaged separately. Even before the account is back to break-even, lots that reach their targets realize profit and recover cash.
Engine — the cash vault (storage)

When it earns, it sets some aside. Ammunition for catching the crash.

Whenever equity swells, a set share is peeled off as cash into the Cash vault. Untouched in normal times — when a crash comes it is drawn as ammunition to buy the bottom.

Cash storage rate (default)
of the growth 10% set aside
Storage trigger (default)
equity +50%that pokes past the channel gets bought,
Turn the safety off
storage rate 0% = off
A higher rate defends crashes better but trims normal returns; a lower one earns more but defends less. Each storage resets the baseline to current equity — stocking ammunition once per +50% of growth.
Engine — crash re-investment (deploy)

When the market halves, the vault opens.

When total equity crashes hard from its all-time peak, half the stored vault is deployed into buying. Falls that much again? The remainder deploys again. Instead of panic selling, the rules buy the bottom .

Deploy trigger (default)
from the peak −50%
1st deployment
of the vault 50%
From the 2nd on
every further −50% remaining cash re-deploys
Set it too shallow (−30%) and the ammunition can run dry before the true bottom. Deep and rare (−50%) is recommended — the key is deploying in stages, never all at once.
Safety — the quarter cut

A brake against over-buying. Trims a quarter, priciest first.

When holdings grow too large to keep buying, it forcibly trims some to restore buying power. It caps concentration and lets the freed cash keep buying at cheaper prices.

98%
When it fires
Automatically when positions exceed 98% of equity, or the day's buy lacks cash.
25%
How it works
Sells from the highest-target (most expensively bought) lots until 25% of equity is cash.
Effect
Sheds the expensive lots stuck near the top first, easing the average and spreading risk.
If a result shows "quarter 3", the quarter cut fired three timesthat year — the more often, the more aggressively it was buying relative to equity.
Chart 1 — scaled buying · take profit

Falling? Buy in slices. Recovering? Harvest.

It does not stop when price falls after the first entry. The deeper the fall, the bigger the slices — lowering the average — and in the recovery each lot is sold on its own as it touches +10% . Many small positions, managed separately.

QQQ · real 2020 daily (COVID crash → recovery) · CTV applied$145$189$233$277$3212020-012020-052020-092020-12up days +1% · down days +3%buying at every closeconcentrated adds — down days 3%average falls through the crashper-lot +10% take profitselling lot by lot through the recovery

How to read the chart

Up close (vs prior day ↑)
Down close (vs prior day ↓)
up days +1% · down days +3% — Buy at each trading day's close and add more on crash days to lower the average cost.
per-lot +10% take profit — During recoveries, sell each lot individually as it reaches its target.

Source: built into the page real QQQ 2020 daily data(COVID crash → recovery) with CTV rules applied. Not sample data.

It never tries to call the bottom. On the way down it keeps accumulating by rule, and on the way up it keeps selling by rule — reacting to price instead of predicting entries.
Chart 2 — the repeating cycle

Not a one-off trade. An endlessly repeating cycle.

Buy → add → take profit → re-invest. Four actions form one cycle, and the cash they free becomes the next cycle's ammunitionas the same rules turn again. The choppier the market, the more often the cycle spins.

QQQ · real 1999–2000 daily · the same rules cycling$36$54$72$90$1081999-061999-092000-012000-0511223① buy → ② add③ take profit → ④ re-investrecovered cash = next cycle's ammunitionmore volatility, more cycles

Reading the cycle

Buy · add — slices bought into the dip.
Take profit — lots sold at target in the bounce, cash recovered.
Re-invest (dotted) — recovered cash funds the next cycle. ①②③ = cycle numbers.

Source: built into the page Real QQQ 1999–2000 daily data. The same rules (buy → add → take profit → re-invest) repeating as cycles.

What matters is not one big bet. Repeating small rules countless timesturns market volatility into stacked profit — that is CTV's engine.
Chart 3 — capital allocation

Why it keeps cash aside.

It never goes all-in. In rallies, take-profit cash is stored in the vaultas reserve ammunition, and when the crash comes the vault is broken open to buy the bottom. Because some cash always remains, there is ammunition for the next opportunity.

Capital allocation (% of total equity) · sample 25 50 75 100 Start rally storing crash deploying

Reading the bars

Invested (positions)
Cash vault (reserve ammunition)

In rallies take-profit cash accrues to the vault(green grows). In crashes the vault is spent buying the bottom(blue jumps). Never all at once — the next opportunity is preserved.

Go all-in once and you cannot buy the cheaper prices that follow. The discipline of keeping cashis what turns crashes into opportunity — though the vault is not infinite, as covered below.
Design yours — the values you control

There is no single answer. Find your own values with data.

Adjust the values below just a default example, not a fixed answer. directly in the backtest engine and verify them instantly on historical data until you trust your own settings.

Asset / leveragechoice

QQQ / NDX-100 futures (1–4×) or spot TQQQ. Higher multiples raise returns, losses and liquidation risk together.

no liquidation at 1× · 3× liquidates at −33% underlying
Entry ratioup/down

Daily buy % of equity, set separately for up and down days.

each 0.5%–4% · default 1% / 3%
Take-profit rateup/down

How far each lot must rise before it sells automatically.

each +1%–+12% · default +10% / +10%
Cash storage rateVault

Share set aside as equity swells. 0% turns the safety off.

0%+ · default 10%
Storage triggerTrigger

How much equity must grow before each storage.

+30%–+70% · default +50%
Re-entry triggerTrigger

How far below the peak before the vault opens.

−30%–−50% · default −50%
Reality Check — Honest Limitations

CTV, too, is no magic that erases losses.

The system works on the premise that recovery comes . If the bottom runs deeper and longer than expected, the average (yellow dotted) stays above price despite the adds, the underwater stretch drags on, and the cash to re-invest can dry up first.

QQQ · real 2000 dot-com crash daily$50$60$71$81$912000-062000-082000-102000-11AverageAverage cost > price → the position remains underwatera deep bottom dries the ammunition firstloss / MDD zoneCTV cannot erase losses eitherthe adds keep comingslices bought into every decline

What this chart shows

the adds keep coming — slices bought into every decline.
The average (yellow dotted)stays above price — underwater for a long stretch.
!If the bottom runs deeper, the ammunition dries up first.
Leverage liquidation risk, Ammunition exhausted, Deep max drawdown (MDD) — all of these really happen. In long crashes like the dot-com bust or 2008, liquidations can chain. In your backtest, check the crisis-year drawdowns yourself.
Reality Check — Honest Limitations

CTV does not erase losses.

It is designed to turn volatility into profit in an up-trending market. But in stretches where that premise collapses, it suffers just as deeply.

Leverage liquidation risk

At 3×, a −33% move in the underlying liquidates a position. In long crashes like the dot-com bust or 2008, chained liquidations can nearly wipe the account.

Ammunition exhausted

The cash vault is not infinite. If the bottom runs deeper and longer than expected, the decline can continue after the re-investment cash is gone.

Deep max drawdown (MDD)

High returns mean little if the drawdowns along the way are too deep to endure — people quit. Always check the crisis-year drawdowns yourself.

No future guarantee

Every figure is only a backtest on historical data. Past performance does not guarantee future returns; investment decisions are entirely your own responsibility.

Check whether the crisis-year drawdowns highlighted in redare truly a level you can endure. Leverage can cause total loss of principal.
Summary — the core

The core is not prediction — it is response.

Not a strategy that calls prices: take profit on rises, buy by rule on falls — a repeating response system. Rules fill the space where emotion would enter.

When price falls,

it buys by rule. It buys at every close, adding more the deeper it falls, pulling down the average.

When price rises,

it takes profit lot by lot. The instant a lot touches its +10% line, that lot alone is sold.

When the account is full,

the quarter cut makes cash. The priciest lots are trimmed first to restore buying power.

Along the time axis,

the same rules repeat. Cash recovered by profits and re-investment funds the next buys, and the cycle goes on.

Source: built into the page Real QQQ 2000 dot-com crash daily data. (The 2022 stretch is not in the built-in data, so an equivalent real QQQ decline stands in.)

Rule-based execution · repeating cycles · capital control · zero emotion — that is all of it. Every value can be adjusted in the backtestand verified instantly.
Chart 6 — QQQ monthly example

Historical check: lay it on US market (QQQ) history.

Built into this page: real QQQ 2020 daily data aggregated to monthly in code, with CTV rules applied. Within the trend it accumulates small in normal months, buys bigger through corrections like the 2020 crash, harvests through the recovery Per-lot take profit, and when the account fills, Quarter cutrecovers cash.

QQQ · monthly (built-in real 2020 daily → aggregated in code) · CTV applied$145$189$233$277$321JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecQuarter cutsmall in normal months (up months 1%)big in crash months (3%)per-lot profits through the recoveryquarter cut frees cash when the account fills

How to read the chart

Up-close month
Down-close month
Scaled buying — small in normal months (1%), big in crash months (3%).
Per-lot take profit — lots sold at target through the recovery.
Quarter cut — when the account fills, a quarter is trimmed from the priciest lots to free cash.

Source: built into the page Real QQQ 2020 daily → monthly aggregation. ▲ buys · ▼ profits · ◆ quarter cuts repeating by rule across the long axis.

Seen monthly, CTV never fights the trend. It rides the uptrend and accumulates, adds through corrections, trims when overheated — the same rules turning along the time axis.
Stop Predicting · Start Cycling

Enough predicting.
Now it is time to design A repeating systemis what you run next.

From daily scaled buying to crash re-investment — every CTV rule and setting is yours to adjust and backtest instantly on historical data.

Past backtests do not guarantee future returns; leveraged products can lose your entire principal. This is not investment advice — all decisions and responsibility are your own. · © TanQuant